Left Out
the kid nobody wants on his team
After a few opening forays last month (a couple promises to voters snuck into other speeches as politicians tried to sneak past campaign laws here and there), the pitches are flying. Here's a helpful roundup of political slogans of the month, from ForUm. What do you all say: in this group of pitches, which are the foul balls, and which are the strikes?
And among the former orange parties, the repositioning continues. Current poll ratings indicate that the joint group of Yushchenko's Nasha Ukrayina (NU) and Lutsenko and Kyrylenko's National Self-Defense (NS) in a single bloc (NUNS) has already draw quite close to the ratings of Tymoshenko's BYuT. (Must... control urge to make "Nuns on the Run" jokes, must... control urge...). There is even some discussion of a BYuT and NUNS uniting for another election.
One development that may help NU reunite with BYuT is that it continues to sideline some of the opposing friends in its own ranks. The most recent two have been Yekhanurov and Bezsmirtniy. I've never thought much of Bezsmirtniy as a politician. so seeing him go seems like a good move to me. Yekhanurov, I'll admit I liked back when he became PM. I would have preferred no break with BYuT to having him, but he talked some economic sense and I was amazed at how much Zerkalo Nedeli seemed to like him.
He's always been part of the "rapprochement with Yanukovych before Tymoshenko" wing of NU, though, so in the interest of seeing Ukrainian voters get some options in the election, it's probably best that he's getting shunted back to the minor leagues off in Dnipropetrovsk.
Yushchenko maintaining his Kuchma-era stance, and abandoning it
However, in a way very similar to his past behavior Yushchenko is again trying court oligarchs at the same time as he's uniting with anti-oligarch parties. Here he is taking an active hand in ousting his own PoR-friendly deputies because they're losing voters for him, as well as trying to rescue NU by bringing it together with more confrontational anti-oligarch parties, but at the same time trying to appeal to oligarchs? I really don't get what his angle is, and it can't help his relations with either NS or BYuT to be chumming with their avowed opponents, let alone voters.
More troubling still than his reverting to past form is a contradiction pointed out by Zerkalo Nedeli: Yushchenko is also agitating for reforms to the Constitution that would increase presidential power, move the country towards authoritarianism, and create "a coffin for Ukrainian democracy". The quote isn't mine, and it isn't ZN's, either. It's Yushchenko 2000's quote, when Kuchma proposed exactly the same raft of reforms. Now would be a good time for him to cut the hypocrisy and work with what he's got.
The all center-rightist candidate list
One group of people that no one is making overtures to now, though, is the Socialists. I've mentioned this fact in the last couple entries, but wanted to at least pause in this one to contemplate this important point. With the Socialists on their way out, by all poll numbers, and the Communists reduced to perhaps 5-6% of the Rada at most, Ukrainians electoral choices seem to include no significant leftist groups.
First take a look at the other parties to see where they're located. BYuT, like it's founder has ever been more populist than leftist; much more likely to dance around the middle where they might win points with voters on both sides than run out and stake an reduced-free-market stance. NS is pretty much a one-note party, with the note being "fight corruption". In any case, Lutsenko wasn't sufficiently devoted to left-leaning policies to give up a chance to join in a block with NU. NU has always had its allies in big business, and even if they're being sidelined now, Yushchenko seems determined to make new ones. That leaves, PoR, which has more big business ties than any other party in the Rada, and thus has even less incentive than they do to take a leftist stand that would damage those ties.
All of which means that Ukrainians can choose from different personalities this September, but not substantially different ideologies. What an amazingly narrow breadth of choice! Their ballot slips are going to look almost like Soviet-era store shelves: only a few things to choose from, and not much to differentiate any them.
This being a speculation about a non-phenomenon (the lack of left) I really don't have any links or events to hang this section on. But I would certainly love opinions and speculation on the potential effects of this imbalance.
Ideas?

Reader Comments (5)
Actually the Communists are making overtures to the Socialists as in all left-wingers should stick together.
"Communist Party Calling On Leftwing Parties To Support It At Early Rada Elections"
http://www.ukranews.com/eng/article/56660.html
And interestingly enough "CPU To Run For Rada Under 'Yes To Democracy, No To Dictatorship' Slogan"
http://www.ukranews.com/eng/article/56673.html
Could it be that the CPU is putting down Stalin and its own history? Nah, unfortunately this is just spin that will be used against the President. And it will just as unfortunately be successful which of course means that his approval rating has gone up over the past few months which is amazing for a politician who was considered a goner.
And what no talk of Moroz?
"Early Election Ads Offer Up Populism, Predictability, and Nostradamus!"
http://www.whatson-kiev.com/index.php?go=News&in=view&id=2773
"As a result, Ukrainians vote “against” rather than “for” those who in their eyes become symbols of unfairly earned wealth and discrimination in access to material benefits" ...
"Hence, the extraordinary and lengthy character of such “meta-problems” makes Ukrainians search for a leader that is prepared to put down an “iron fist” in the classic authoritarian way and achieve results. As it turns out, the most appropriate model of power is a harsh top-down control ruled from a single center for voters throughout the country.
At the same time, the electorate in the eastern oblasts is comparatively more authoritative. Indeed, people there primarily judge political leaders based on the criteria of power and authority. This essentially means that the performance results of politicians in the southern and eastern oblasts are of secondary importance. Such a blatant show of power demonstrates to the people the parental traits of a politician. "
http://www.kyivweekly.com/?art=1185388934
"Yalta City Branch Of Party Of Regions Bewares Of Low Turnout At Early Elections To Rada"
http://www.ukranews.com/eng/article/56942.html
Some course correction might be difficult to accomplish in the face of possibly lower funding from RU. But could it actually be utilized and pave the way for PoR landslide? the following is how - in a lower turn out, every vote counts all the more so theoretically rather than going for close to 100% of the vote, all one would need is actually above 40% of the vote. Voter fraud perfectly accomplished with lower numbers which would be a reversal of the voter fraud in '06 and esp. '04. Is this the way that PoR will go?
"Ukrainians are afraid to openly defend their rights - poll"
More than half of Ukrainians are afraid to openly speak against authorities in the press, at rallies and meetings.
These are the results of an opinion poll, carried out by the Gorshenin Institute.
At the same time, some 25% of those polled are convinced there is nothing to fear.
According to the results of the poll, some 45.6% of respondents believe that any mass actions and rallies of citizens in defense of their rights are impossible in Ukraine in the nearest future. Some 35.9% of those poll surmise that such actions may take place.
At the same time, two thirds of Ukrainians consider impossible the introduction of amendments into the legislation, as a result of which the President of Ukraine would be appointed by the Verkhovna Rada. The majority of those polled believe that Ukraine needs the post of President – some 67.4%.
According to the results of the poll, some 90% of Ukrainians support canceling the deputies immunity.
The investigation was carried out during February 12-25, 2007. 2012 respondents aged over 18 were polled. The error margin does not exceed 2.4%.