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Vote count

Announcements - prelim. announcement from CEC may be made on Oct. 3rd.  

CEC election results website in english

At 99.95% tabulated

Party of Regions             34.35%

BYuT - Tymoshenko        30.73%

OU-PSD - Yushchenko     14.16%

Communist Party             5.39%

Lytvyn Bloc                     3.96%

Socialist Party                 2.86%  

All other parties               4.10% 

Vote against all                2.73% 

Total of all votes            98.28% 

2006 March Parliamentary results -
Party of Regions 32.14%, BYuT 22.9%, OU 13.95%, Socialist 5.69%,  Communist 3.66%. All other votes 20.08% (inc. against all 1.77%) with voter turnout 68% and total vote 24,409,135.

My shock is how low the 'against all' vote is, as I had thought it would be closer to 6%.Which is really good news as people did vote for a party and were much more 'engaged' in the elections than was reported.

Update - report from BYuT that attempts are being to falsify the vote count in Donetsk, Luhansk, Odessa and Crimea.  

Simferopol top prize winner in the slowness of returns. Only 19.49% of the votes counted at this time encompasssing 159 polling sites. (10 pm. 10/01) Journalists from UNIAN who telephoned were informed that counting was slow based on the number of errors in documentation form the election committees.

In Kharkiv city and oblast PoR ratings dropped from the last election according to analyst. Votes were picked up by BYuT.  

Posted on Tuesday, October 2, 2007 at 08:36PM by Registered CommenterIIU | Comments55 Comments

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Reader Comments (55)

actually moroz is down to 2.99

if only ....

with moroz under 3%, orange doesn't need lytvyn to make a majority
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
Ah for stability they do and perhaps it would be good if M went thru as well ? as otherwise will drag thru court system. I mean what can be done --- taxi to Boryspil and one way ticket to 'anywhere but here'?
October 1, 2007 | Registered CommenterIIU
I think the whole results are pretty depressing overall: The election has solved nothing, and done the least for civic honesty, I fear. Both sides will likely try to bribe Lytvyn their way and there will be wrangling and arm twisting over whether Moroz got 2.9999 or 3.0001 or whatever, and now we have Yulia and Yanu both claiming victory and pretty soon, i bet, sirens blaring away in the VR. Not a pretty thoought.
If only things would be clear cut. I guess that is still possible, although looking increasingly unlikely.
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
"has solved nothing"

If the 'orange' leaders and 'blue' leaders don't work for the future and the good of Ukraine, then, yes, I agree with you. European leaders want a quick settlement to the protracted crisis and Ukrainians want a better life. Will any of it be fulfilled?
October 1, 2007 | Registered CommenterIIU
I don't know.

I think both sides may learn a lesson from the election. I'm of the opinion that if the Oranges take it, things'll keep swinging their way in all likelihood. That is unless Russia decides to put Ukraine in a world of hurt, but I don't think they will need to do that.

dlw
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
2.97%

at 92.73% of the vote count.

Man, this must be really painful for Moroz, dying a "death of a thousand cuts" V--E--R--Y S--L--O--W--L--Y like this.

Millimeter by millimeter.

Well deserved.
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterelmer
The good news: Moroz is down to 2.96 percent, so with every second the clock is ticking on his chances.
The bad news: Regions and the commies are surging so strongly that the Oranges may still need Lytvyn to hang on.
Orange team is down to 230 seats, and they can only afford to lose 4 more.

elmer: agreed.
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
So is Lytvyn another Moroz, or can he be counted on to be more pro-democratic?
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterelmer
Lytvyn was allegedly on the tapes in which Kuchma supposedly discussed getting rid of journalist Gongadze, who was found beheaded in 2000. According to wikipedia, some dispute the authenticity of the tapes.
Politically, he is supposed to be neutral, My guess is that either way he will want to be on the winning side - whichever that might be. Publicly he has said he will wait for all the returns to be in until making his next move.
I have a hunch - nothing more -- that he would be interested in not overturning the constitutional reforms that came out of the Orange Revolution, as I believe he played a role in the crafting of that.
But as we've seen, in Ukraine politicians can often be 'persuaded' to do all kinds of things. Look at Moroz. All he wanted to do was be speaker, so he went to the side that gave him that.
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
When he was Speaker of the House prior he did support Yushchenko but his spokesperson already stated that the party is for a 'grand' coalition bet. orange and blue. Will Lytvyn force the coalition between OU-PSD and PoR?

"Lytvyn’s Bloc representative Mykhaylo Syrota speaks for necessity of creating a broad coalition in the Verkhovna Rada. ...

According to him, the coalition of 230-240 votes is not stable. “Because there will always be a threat that 150 lawmakers may refuse from their mandates, and there will be no parliament of the sixth convocation, as well as the fifth convocation. And it is a threat to not only parliamentarism, but the whole power”, M.Syrota stressed.

He spoke for a coalition, including more than 300 lawmakers. “Only a broad, constitutional coalition, gives an opportunity of a perspective work of the parliament”, he said. At the same time, he refused to specify, which coalition the Lytvyn’s Bloc will join – the “orange” or the “white-blue”."
http://www.unian.net/eng/news/news-214716.html
October 1, 2007 | Registered CommenterIIU
A reminder from last year...

Party of Regions - 8,148,745 votes (32.1%), 186 seats
Bloc of Yulia Tymoshenko - 5,652,876 votes (22.3%), 129 seats
Bloc "Our Ukraine" - 3,539,140 votes (14.0%), 81 seats
Socialist Party of Ukraine - 1,444,224 votes (5.7%), 33 seats
Communist Party of Ukraine - 929,591 votes (3.7%), 21 seats
People's Opposition Bloc of Natalia Vitrenko - 743,704 votes (2.9%), no seats
Bloc of Lytvyn - 619,905 votes (2.4%), no seats
Others - 3,332,330 votes (13.1%), no seats

from http://globaleconomydoesmatter.blogspot.com/2007/09/ukraine-holds-early-parliamentary.html

with 93.7% of the vote counted:

Party of Regions - 7,270,501 votes (34.2%)
“Block of Yulia Tymoshenko” - 6,552,369 votes (30.8%)
Block “Our Ukraine – Peoples’ Self-Defense” - 3,037,540 votes (14.3%)
Communist Party of Ukraine - 1,142,615 votes (5.4%)
“Block of Lytvyn” - 846,652 votes (4.0%)
Socialist Party of Ukraine - 628,336 votes (2.95%)
Progressive Socialist Party of Ukraine - 271,055 votes (1.3%)
Others - 597,809 votes (2.8%)

On the basis of the latest CEC figures, the Yulia Tymoshenko Bloc and Our Ukraine-People's Self Defense would have 156 and 73 seats, respectively, for a total of 229 mandates - an overall majority of eight seats.

dlw (It depends on whether the Socialists make it....)
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
Levko thinks the Socialists are out and that Lytvyn will eventually join the Oranges after a delay and then the PoRs will raise a stink, which the new gov't will have to endure...

dlw
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
Dan might have liked to sum up something like this...
http://globaleconomydoesmatter.blogspot.com/2007/09/economic-outlook-in-ukraine.html

dlw
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
So, we may actually see in future - - -

Yulia Tymoshenko as PM sitting across from Vladimir Putin as PM?


October 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
"one thing is certain: they will have their work cut out, since Ukraine is a country with a very large accumulated set of problems, and of course, its size (in a European context) means that it is also a country which few (and especially those countries in the European Union) can afford to ignore."

But they know all this stuff already in Ukraine (what author has written about - labor shortage, fertility rates, etc.) For ex. some places have a hard time finding professional people to work construction jobs as no one wants to work for the money offered or has moved to countries which offer higher rates of pay.

Most of the 'political elite' just seem to care about making more and spending it. Therein lies the problem. Don't get me wrong - masterful write up. Terrific - thank u for the link (though the fertility rates were even worse than stated as u can't trust the state generated stats as they fiddle the numbers so it is not so bad, though recently it is on an upswing though will not offset the downward demographic trend.)

Some of the 'elite' seem bent on proving the adage: "that you don't HAVE TO DO anything in this world but die."
October 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
With all the votes nearly in it looks like the Oranges may hang on, thank goodness. Nice to see Moroz down the tubes, I have to admit.
But will Regions go quiety into opposition?
Will everybody on the Orange list STAY on the orange list.
Will the Oranges competently govern?
At least we have a chance, right?
October 2, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
Actually I feel even more optimistic looking at the numbers this morning and must take back my "solved nothing" remark, which was based on the premise that there would be some dispute on Moroz and thus the control of the assembly.
It looks like Moroz's SPU is too far back now to possibly come back. Regions may make a fuss but if all the canvassing shows the Blues in 2nd place it seems they would have no choice but to accept it. And I bet Lytvyn wants to be on the winning side. Given the nature of Ukrainian political alliances, might we expect to see Orange's razor-thin majority swell to 250 or so with defections from Regions?
October 2, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
According to Unian election observers have seen officials in Donestsk trying to transfer votes from Regions to SPU in order to boost the SPU total over 3%
The vote count overall seems stalled.
October 2, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterWRY
Rather ironic - "Saving Moroz" - given that the PoR, just before elections, ignored most of what he did.

This election proves that 30% of the voters will vote for thugs and mafia.

The question is - why?

Maybe this explains some of it:

http://rep-ua.com/show/gallery.php?what=g&photo=1070-3310366494.jpg&id=1070
October 2, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterelmer
elmer - I hope u r not being mean.

I have not seen a demographic breakdown of voters, ages, gender, regions etc. and voting patterns, though I am sure that 'someone' has the information and has done the study. I have long wondered what the effects will be in future elections, as more people pass away.

But I do believe that what has greatly impacted the results of voting in Ukraine has been the migration of millions of Ukrainians out of Ukraine - in this election alone, only thousands voted abroad though millions have moved away. Lots of eligible voters.
October 2, 2007 | Registered CommenterIIU

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