Sheering Off Another Branch of Government
God help us
Unfortunately, there's little good news on the political front.
A Cliffhanger So Dragged-Out It's Not Exciting Anymore
Foreign Minister Tarasyuk is still there on the brink, after months of shoving by the Party of Regions. They cut off his budget. Now it's back. Everybody's waiting on the Constitutional Court, which, I hope, will mean a more high-profile position for the court and some sort of arbitration to the endless squabbling of Ukrainian politicians.
It's all part of the uncertainty about power that's existed at least since the March elections. PACE recently said, among other things, that it "reduces to zero the hope of political consensus in making further decisions which will speed up the adoption of necessary reforms in Ukraine." (It can say this because it doesn't really have any power, and therefore can dispense with diplomacy in favor of straight talk. Refreshing.)
Tymoshenko And Yanukovych Star In Naked Ambition
Tarasyuk is probably losing ground, though, as Yushchenko loses it. On Jan 12, Tymoshenko joined with Yanu and crew to help strip Yushchenko of even more of his powers as President. Foreign Notes speculates that the move is calculated to try and push Yushchenko further into a corner where calling new elections is his only option. In essence, she voted to strip power from Yushchenko and vest it in Yanukovych. Both Zerkalo Nedeli and EDM believe that it was more a negotiated settlement, in which Yanukovych got his power, and she got her law protecting the opposition and law requiring local officials to dance with the ones who brung them (in other words, remain with the parties they got their positions through).
Even if the Constitutional Court breaks its long silence to overrule this (as it has every reason to do since it's a legal mess), the effort shows complete disregard of democratic institutions by both BYT and PoR. Should the majority in Parliament manage to enforce this travesty, they will have basically sawed off one of the branches of power. Forget about Tymoshenko trying for President in 2009: who'd want that figurehead position? Yanukovych recently said in Davos that "Neither the government nor the prime minister ever aspires to replace the president," which would certainly be true: why replace him when you can simply ignore him and rule alone?
[update: I said "another" branch of government in the title, but forgot to explain why. If you've been counting, this is the second branch of government to be broken off (the judiciary has long been ineffectual). That means it's basically a Parliamentary dictatorship with almost no checks and balances.]
I can hardly get my brain around how foul this is, and how awful for the country it would be. Oh, wait, now I've found the right words: Kuchma was better. Shame and degradation on all those who voted for this law, especially Tymoshenko.
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Kushnaryov killed in a hunting accidentParty of Regions Deputies: Rising and Falling
To put it bluntly, Kushnaryov is dead (image: Reuters). He was on a hunting expedition with fellow PoR deputies and was accidentally fatally wounded by a shot to the stomach. While Foreign Note's entry, cited, mentions that the accident was perpetuated by a supposedly decorated marksman, it's being ruled an accident. Which couldn't be otherwise, because who would investigate the event? Unfortunately, none of the former orange groups look interested, and generally PoR tends to adopt a "devil take the hindmost" stance: if one of theirs falls, it's his own fault.
Not that I was a big fan, or anything (Kushnaryov was from the no-compromise wing of PoR), but it would have been nice to at least have seen an investigation.
Not all PoR deputies' fortunes are so dark. As Foreign Notes has been describing in detail, all the oldest, dirtiest politicians are returning to government, like rats pouring on to a ship that is, remarkably, still afloat despite its deplorable state.
In the midst of all of this, an anniversary few people are probably marking these days: two years of Yu.

Reader Comments (83)
Note how they'll make all kinds of excuses for their pet projects.
Like stirring up Tatar rights in Crimea while not doing the same for the Rusyn community of Trans-Carpathia.
Plenty of Ukrainian citizens go to Russia without trouble. Much of the Russian-Ukrainian border remains very open.
http://5.ua/newsline/251/0/37033/
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President directs Cabinet to examine criminality of raiders ...
http://24news.in.ua/news3782.html
He wrote me an email saying(I hope he doesn't mind me reposting it.): It is difficult to know what strategies BYuT and RU have. Early elections are one strategy that BYuT is pushing but it requires a president with
political will. Do we have that? I give it a 50: 50 chance of happening.
The fact that the SPU and Our Ukraine could be written out of the game is not BYuT's or RU fault but their own. The KPU is on an inevitable slide to oblivion from 20% in 2002 to 3.5% in 2006 to less than 3 in 2011.
My greater concern is the ideological amorphousness of both BYuT and RU and the personality cult of BYuT.
dlw: I wrote back to him saying:thankyou for your considerate reply.
I believe that if people formed communities of thirty or less and stewarded their votes in these groups on three or four issues of import for them as a group, while focusing most of their time and energy on local matters, that it would make the parties have to change.
I believe lasting changes come from the ground up, not the top-down.
dlw
http://www2.pravda.com.ua/news/2007/2/13/54456.htm
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Big ByuT demonstration planned in Kyiv at Maidan on Feb. 14th (it has become like Tymoshenko's holiday as the symbol of the political party is a red heart dev. for parliamentary elections last yr.)
http://ua.proua.com/news/2007/02/13/202247.html
You know, I have to agree with you about change coming from the ground up. I think that's what Maidan was all about, with lots of help from the top.
But I think the people in Ukraine have been used to being intimidated for so long, via the "Sovok Handbook of Intimidation, Insults and Injuries" that they are still not used to speaking out.
And lack of information, I mean widespread, reliable public information, especially in the villages, is a problem. So is lack of resources. So is a sense of hopelessness. Which is exactly what some of the politicians still count on today.
If you'll notice, Tymoshenko is making a very strong, huge appeal directly to the people, especially with her new "housecleaning" project, with concrete steps that people can understand, and the results of which they see.
Yanukovych and the Party of Rossiya hate that, and have previously branded it "populism," as if that's something bad. Like "nationalism," which was a sovok code word intended to stop people in their tracks, because "nationalism" in the sovok union was worse than murder.
But, as noted above, there is still that problem of overtones of a personality cult with BYUT, no matter how good their intentions.
I never said that lasting changes that come from the ground up have nothing to do with leaders at the top.
I think BYuT (and PoR/NSNU) need to "mature" as political parties. I think that is TK's idea. My thought was that people could help promote this maturation if (in addition to becoming better informed and more hopeful) people strategically pooled their votes in small groups and voted based on three or four issues of pressing concern for them. They could demand platforms from the parties and monitor whether they followed thru with their promises on these issues, without becoming policy wonks(experts)/junkies(addicts).
I am glad to read at Taras R's blog that the opposition is functioning in Kyiv.
http://tap-the-talent.blogspot.com/2007/02/chernoco-profit-slashed-hijacked-city.html This is a sign of the health of Ukraine's flawed democracy. If Timo et al want to replace Chernovetsky, they'll need to emulate his "clean graft" by also helping out the poor. See def'n of "clean graft" here...
http://www.law.northwestern.edu/depts/communicate/newspages/article_full.cfm?eventid=568
dlw
Tymoshenko has openly stated that the city deputies, at least, were "working for their own skin" (to paraphrase the Ukrainian phrase, meaning, of course, that they were working for nothing but themselves), and that is why she is setting up the big "housecleaning" and monitoring teams.
Information is certainly key, as you note. Internet is very expensive and still limited.
But it is indeed a powerful tool, if one can sift through a ton of propaganda and deliberate sabotage (recall mysterious and frequent outages at Ukrainian Pravda, for example).
"people strategically pooled their votes in small groups and voted based on three or four issues"
Would this not be at odds with Tymo's mandate bill?
Re: Kyiv pls. see latest in regards to court ruling based on Omelchenko's suit where the new tariffs are struck down for the past mos. (of course ruling could be overturned and it awaits response from the Kyiv Mayor.)
http://5.ua/newsline/198/20/37039/
Alexandra -
pls. provide context (url/quote/etc) re: Kuzio's comment, if possibe. Would be appreciated as yes, an argument could be made that Moscow infl. was over and yes, the reverse argument could also be made.
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In ans. to critics and their statements, what do you say?
It's all lies.
What changes would you enact to make things better for people?
Economic growth. (no details provided and if pushed - would mutter foreign investment.)
[and in ans. to any ques. for which did not want to directly ans. just talk and talk (common ones are attacking the prior administrations, the Pres., the opposition, etc.) until the interviewer finally gives up and tries to move on, at which point, I emphatically state that I just wish to complete my point and go on for a few more minutes (cagey interviewers are on to this manipulation and cut me off cold.)]
The rules are to throw in keywords which directly speak to the blue voters (such as "работаем"), talk at length not ans.the ques., give obtuse responses, and lead the conversation in whatever direction I so desire. :)
In a press conference V. Ohryzko stated that neither by any word or deed has Poroshenko negatively affected relations bet. Ukraine and Russia. Ohryzko also stated that he would be traveling to RU at end of mo. as planned for mtgs. re: Russian fleet in Black sea (it has been reported that Ohryzko is on the RU black list so it will be seen if he is turned away at the border.)
Imagine that! A Ukrainian official speaking Ukrainian in Ukraine!
Who ever heard of such a thing?
I remember when Sakashvili came to Ukraine, he spoke - Ukrainian.
There are courses in Ukrainian at universities all over the world, including Harvard, Columbia, Stanford, Yale and other universities.
But some people in Ukraine think that Ukrainian either 1) does not exist or 2) should be verboten.
I think it's coming to the point where Russia will declare all Ukrainians, including Ukrainian officials, persona non grata.
This pooling will be to increase the influence of the group on the 3 or 4 issues and to enable some specialization in the pursuit of the relevant information on those issues.
bottom line: to make democracy work better, we need to be willing to sacrifice some of our individualism, but that can hopefully be done in a relatively decentralized manner.
dlw
elmer - could u explain the proposal to me?
I would really like to understand it.
http://5.ua/newsline/232//37098/
I describe it in some detail here. http://sodsbrood.com/antimani/2006/10/23/a-house-church-model-for-political-activism/
Though, I described it for a US setting, I believe it could be adapted for Ukrainians and that if enough people pooled their votes in this sort of manner, it would help force the parties to develop platforms that they can be compared on.
dlw
Yep, you are right! Imagine that! LOL!
When I finally accepted what the ruckus was about - I could not believe it. "A Ukrainian official speaking in Ukrainian in Ukraine."
at an Ukrainian conference!
Again LOL! (the shame! quelle horreur!)
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New President of Turkmenistan
thankfully he promised to abide by all current promises
- (I wonder why Pres. Putin was not present?)