« Diplomacy-Free Speech | Main | Labor Migration »

Sheering Off Another Branch of Government

God help us

Unfortunately, there's little good news on the political front.

A Cliffhanger So Dragged-Out It's Not Exciting Anymore

Foreign Minister Tarasyuk is still there on the brink, after months of shoving by the Party of Regions. They cut off his budget. Now it's back. Everybody's waiting on the Constitutional Court, which, I hope, will mean a more high-profile position for the court and some sort of arbitration to the endless squabbling of Ukrainian politicians.

It's all part of the uncertainty about power that's existed at least since the March elections. PACE recently said, among other things, that it "reduces to zero the hope of political consensus in making further decisions which will speed up the adoption of necessary reforms in Ukraine." (It can say this because it doesn't really have any power, and therefore can dispense with diplomacy in favor of straight talk. Refreshing.)

Tymoshenko And Yanukovych Star In Naked Ambition

Tarasyuk is probably losing ground, though, as Yushchenko loses it. On Jan 12, Tymoshenko joined with Yanu and crew to help strip Yushchenko of even more of his powers as President. Foreign Notes speculates that the move is calculated to try and push Yushchenko further into a corner where calling new elections is his only option. In essence, she voted to strip power from Yushchenko and vest it in Yanukovych. Both Zerkalo Nedeli and EDM believe that it was more a negotiated settlement, in which Yanukovych got his power, and she got her law protecting the opposition and law requiring local officials to dance with the ones who brung them (in other words, remain with the parties they got their positions through).

Even if the Constitutional Court breaks its long silence to overrule this (as it has every reason to do since it's a legal mess), the effort shows complete disregard of democratic institutions by both BYT and PoR. Should the majority in Parliament manage to enforce this travesty, they will have basically sawed off one of the branches of power. Forget about Tymoshenko trying for President in 2009: who'd want that figurehead position? Yanukovych recently said in Davos that "Neither the government nor the prime minister ever aspires to replace the president," which would certainly be true: why replace him when you can simply ignore him and rule alone?

[update: I said "another" branch of government in the title, but forgot to explain why. If you've been counting, this is the second branch of government to be broken off (the judiciary has long been ineffectual). That means it's basically a Parliamentary dictatorship with almost no checks and balances.] 

I can hardly get my brain around how foul this is, and how awful for the country it would be. Oh, wait, now I've found the right words: Kuchma was better. Shame and degradation on all those who voted for this law, especially Tymoshenko.

88591-650078-thumbnail.jpg
Kushnaryov killed in a hunting accident
Party of Regions Deputies: Rising and Falling 

To put it bluntly, Kushnaryov is dead (image: Reuters). He was on a hunting expedition with fellow PoR deputies and was accidentally fatally wounded by a shot to the stomach. While Foreign Note's entry, cited, mentions that the accident was perpetuated by a supposedly decorated marksman, it's being ruled an accident. Which couldn't be otherwise, because who would investigate the event? Unfortunately, none of the former orange groups look interested, and generally PoR tends to adopt a "devil take the hindmost" stance: if one of theirs falls, it's his own fault.

Not that I was a big fan, or anything (Kushnaryov was from the no-compromise wing of PoR), but it would have been nice to at least have seen an investigation.

Not all PoR deputies' fortunes are so dark. As Foreign Notes has been describing in detail, all the oldest, dirtiest politicians are returning to government, like rats pouring on to a ship that is, remarkably, still afloat despite its deplorable state. 

In the midst of all of this, an anniversary few people are probably marking these days: two years of Yu.

Posted on Monday, January 29, 2007 at 11:00AM by Registered CommenterDan McMinn | Comments83 Comments

PrintView Printer Friendly Version

EmailEmail Article to Friend

Reader Comments (83)

no mention of how Kuzio himself has admitted he can't read well behind the tea leaves about what is going on in Ukraine's politics?
http://blog.taraskuzio.net/2007/01/18/legal-chaos-or-bardak-in-ukraine/

dlw
January 29, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
I wish Ukraine was somewhere that I would want to emigrate to. No particular plans to leave home, just a thought.
January 29, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterR. Smith
"dirtiest politicians returning to govt"
Absolutely right. A total return of Kuchism.
Depressing which is why I agree with Lutsenko regarding a Spring protest to Kyiv. People cannot be apathetic while the country goes down the tubes.

"The Ukrainian people deserve much better than what they have" stated by Latvian President Vaira Vike-Freiberga at Davos from article " Borshch, Blini And Bodyguards, But No Bill Gates" posted at http://blog.kievukraine.info/

January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Anyone have any idea why 5.ua stopped providing english translations of its news items?
January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Unfortunately not as yet avail. in english
live Internet feed in Ukrainian
http://24news.in.ua/online24tv.php
January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Tarasiuk got tired of waiting for the court, and resigned.


It is an insane asylum, and the inmates are running the asylum.

Kuchma was not better, he was a thug.

Lutsenko is the only sane, rational one left.

I hope his appeal to the people works.
January 30, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterelmer
Tarasyuk bowed to inevitable. It was a ridiculous situation made so by PoR. Though funding was restored to the Foreign Ministry it was made clear that Tarasyuk nor any of his expenses would be paid which means no travel, no meetings, nada.
January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
"The Government of Ukraine intends to increase military-industrial programs by 20-25% in the current year."
http://www.kmu.gov.ua/control/en/publish/article;jsessionid=E7B8DA41AF72CEB09CDE8AA6DD4AD877?art_id=64765506&cat_id=2297108

Ouch - major inc. planned in the military sector which if the plan is to go into NATO/EU does not make sense as that would mean a decrease not increase. It also sounds weird because traditionally the military does not ever receive the full amount of funding assigned to it. I wonder if this is the wind up to ousting Hrytsenko?
January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Political limbo - as of yet the Cabinet Minister bill has not been officially publ. according to the Constitution. Knowing that as soon as it is publ. it will go to Constitutional Court what are the odds that tactics are being worked out to deal with this eventually? (It seems that any time PoR delays something they are working furiously behind the scenes for ex. when they blocked the podium in Rada then the deal with the Socialists and Communists came out.)

"Under the Constitution of Ukraine the law is regarded effective after it is published in gazettes "Holos of Ukraine" and "Uriadovyi Kurier".

The majority of the law's provisions fully correspond to the Constitution of Ukraine. However separate articles of the law partially cover issues, which can be settled in the process of Constitutional rather than legislative regulation.

As the President's spokeswoman Iryna Vannykova said, the website of the Verkhovna Rada is not an official media to publish state legal acts."
http://www.kmu.gov.ua/control/en/publish/news_article?art_id=64730120&cat_id=32598
January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Actually, I think that there are a number of sane, rational people left in but they are deputies in the opposition.

For ex. Anatoliy Matvienko, leader of the nationalist Sobor party, national deputy part of NU

Check out his quote from EDM March 15, 2005 which laid out a YEAR in advance exactly what happened in the March 2006 Parliamentary elections
"Yushchenko's party should target the majority of voters if it wants to be in the majority in the next parliament, but the majority of Ukrainians is anti-NATO and pro-Russian, Matvienko noted. The nationalist electorate, however, is largely pro-NATO and anti-Russian."
http://www.jamestown.org/publications_details.php?volume_id=407&issue_id=3261&article_id=2369409

January 30, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Kuzio's words mostly referred to the actions of Byut in voting for the Cabinet Ministers bill but in fact Byut has done a major reversal before - voting for legislation it was against before re: transferring from Presidential-parliamentary to Parliamentary-Presidential.

(The Constitutional ammendments which were voted on in Dec. 2004 which Byut was formerly against in June 2004, which they later voted for and came into effect in Jan. 2006.)

"The 4180 Bill, which people's deputies Stepan Havrsh, Raisa Bogatyriova, Kateryna Vaschuk et al. initiated, collected 276 yeas in its support.
The voting was accompanied by a hullabaloo, which Our Ukraine and BYUT faction members raised in the session hall."
http://www.ukraine-embassy.co.il/english/news/index.php?&rb=28&text=8867&ppage=410

"Bill 3207-1 was passed by the Rada on December 8, 2004 together with Bill 4180 during the "heady" days of the Orange Revolution. Bill 4180 dealt with changes to the Constitution which transferred executive powers from the Presidency to the Cabinet of Ministers and Parliament - i.e. with the issue of separation of powers at the central government level. Bill 3207-1 (the one which the Constitutional Court ruled on yesterday) deals with the
organization of LOCAL governments.

Some may recall that according to the deal struck in Parliament between Kuchma, Yushchenko, et. al. in December, Ukraine's system of government was to change from its current presidential-parliamentary form to a parliamentary-presidential system on January 1 2006"
http://orangeukraine.squarespace.com/long-articles/2005/9/14/court-did-not-endorse-constitutional-changes.html
January 31, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Kuzio posts...
http://blog.taraskuzio.net/2007/01/31/tarasiuk-goes-what-remains

it matters not to PoR how the dismissal of Tarasiuk looks to the rest of the world, Russia seems to be king...

My hope is in the people of Ukraine...

dlw
January 31, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
Actually Yanukovych is king and does not care one whit what people think. (He has 90% approval rating in Donetsk even though things have gotten worse economically for the inhabitants.)

The cabinet ministers bill will be publ. with Moroz's signature.
http://5.ua/newsline/179//36543/

President's secretariat calls it an illegal law.

Does the President still believe that this can be solved via a round table?

February 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
"Speculation about the new FM favours Oleksandr Chalyi (a diplomat in the pre-revolution Kuchma regime and now a senior presidential aide) with Roman Shpek (Ukraine's ambassador to the EU) and Kostyantyn Gryschenko (a senior aide of Mr Yanukovych) also in the running."
http://euobserver.com/9/23390?rss_rk=1

According to Chornovil interviewed on day of Tarasyuk's resignation Chalyi is a candidate who would be approved by PoR.

Pres. is to submit his candidate on Feb. 6th.
February 1, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
It sounds like Putin is not running for reelection.http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-putin2feb02,1,5927347.story?coll=la-headlines-world And though he claims he will not pick a successor, the story is pretty much sure that whoever he endorses will probably win, what with his 70% approval ratings.

dlw
February 2, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw
"President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday Russia was interested in the idea of a "gas Opec" to co-ordinate supply activities and ensure energy security - but not as a price-fixing organisation." ...

"He insisted Russia had helped safeguard newly independent states' sovereignty after the USSR collapsed, but subsidies could not go on for ever.

"We must not subsidise the economies of other countries in large amounts, comparable with their budgets. No one else does that." he said.

He added that new pricing and tariff arrangements with transit countries such as Belarus and Ukraine were aimed "precisely at ensuring the interests of key consumers" in western Europe, for which Moscow should be thanked."
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/f4e756a4-b261-11db-a79f-0000779e2340.html
February 2, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
From Kyiv Post posted on Kyiv News Blog

Foreign Companies Lining Up For Ukrainian Uranium

"However, the country’s leadership is not eager to let them in so soon, opting instead to yield monopoly control over the potentially lucrative business to a yet-to-be-established state behemoth, which would need an estimated $2.4 billion in credit to get on its feet.

As the battle to gain control over the mining of Ukrainian uranium, together with its processing into nuclear fuel, continues, experts say development of the business is key to the nation’s energy security.

Ukraine, which receives about half of its electricity from nuclear power plants, has enough uranium reserves to weed out Russian imports and fill domestic demand for up to 1,000 years.

Just how much uranium Ukraine holds has been kept quiet and subject to state secrecy provisions. "
February 2, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
IIU- You claim Yanukovich has a 90% approval rating in DonBas. Can you dig up a source for that? I'd like to see it. LEvko @ FN claims that the "trust rate" is floating at around 47%, and notes that the study may be biased in Yanu's favor:

http://foreignnotes.blogspot.com/2007/02/trust-in-yanukovych.html
February 2, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterR. Smith
Source was a broadcast on 5 kanal - two political analysts being interviewed regarding how to unite east and west Ukraine. Unfortunately, the program was not archived on 5.ua websote or would have inc. url link.
February 3, 2007 | Unregistered CommenterIIU
Is the flu pandemic beginning in Ukraine?
http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=11217506&PageNum=0

This could result in a large number of deaths.

dlw
February 3, 2007 | Unregistered Commenterdlw

PostPost a New Comment

Enter your information below to add a new comment.
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
All HTML will be escaped. Hyperlinks will be created for URLs automatically.